Posts Tagged ‘NFL Fantasy Picks’

Who You Drafted and Who You Should Have Drafted…

By now most of us have realized that we did an awful job during our fantasy football draft.  Of course at the time, we thought we had a championship team and the championship was a lock.  The football season is about half way over, which makes for a good time to look back and see who we drafted, and who we should have drafted.

Who You Drafted

If you drafted Favre, you feel the same way.

Brett Favre
Fantasy Points: 79
Projected Rank: 47
Actual Rank: 151
Drafted: 7th Round
Ryan Mathews
Fantasy Points: 53
Projected Rank: 8
Actual Rank: 122
Drafted: 2nd Round
Shonn Greene
Fantasy Points: 44
Projected Rank: 9
Actual Rank: 159
Drafted: 2nd Round
Steve Smith (CAR)
Fantasy Points: 45
Projected Rank: 34
Actual Rank: 177
Drafted: 5th Round
Robert Meachem
Fantasy Points: 44
Projected Rank: 85
Actual Rank: 163
Drafted: 8th Round
Owen Daniels
Fantasy Points: 20
Projected Rank: 100
Actual Rank: 225
Drafted: 9th Round

Who You Should Have Drafted

Somebody is playing as if they want a new contract soon...

Kyle Orton
Fantasy Points: 219
Projected Rank: 136
Actual Rank: 8
Drafted: 17th Round
Darren McFadden
Fantasy Points: 139
Projected Rank: 117
Actual Rank: 6
Drafted: 12th round
Peyton Hillis
Fantasy Points: 112
Projected Rank: 256
Actual Rank: 19
Drafted: 15th Round
Brandon Lloyd
Fantasy Points: 113
Projected Rank: 262
Actual Rank: 11
Drafted: Undrafted
Steve Johnson
Points: 82
Projected Rank: 265
Actual Rank: 52
Drafted: Undrafted
Marcedes Lewis
Fantasy Points: 76
Projected Rank: 157
Actual Rank: 37
Drafted: Undrafted


Week 9 Waiver Wire Wonders

1. LaGarrette Blount (18.5%) – If you didn’t want to listen to me last week, I bet you’re listening now. 22 carries for 120 yards and two touchdowns. If you ignored our sage advice, I almost hope that it’s too late now. Sometimes tough love is the only way.

2. Mike Tolbert (61%) – He’s owned in more than half of leagues, but the number has declined in the last couple weeks big time. And rightfully so. But On Sunday he the Chargers went back to basically an even-split time share with Tolbert and Ryan Matthews. Of course, Tolbert claimed the lone rushing TD. He’ll be a TD-vulture on his worst week and a guy who gets close to 20 touches on his best week. Definite value.

3. Danny Woodhead (31.5%) – I’m sorry, but the Patriots are using this little guy more than I can ever remember them using Kevin Faulk. He’s in on way more than just 3rd downs and he’s good. He scored another TD (his 3rd in 5 games) on Sunday and he had 11 touches for more than 50 yards. Even better, you can play him at RB or WR. This guy is a valuable bench player that should be owned in pretty much all leagues.

4. Darrius Heyward-Bey (1.1%) – Where did that come from? After being nearly invisible since being drafted way too early in 2009, Heyward-Bey went nuts yesterday with over 100 yards receiving and a TD. His 9 targets were almost triple the amount of the next closest pass catcher. Jason Campbell may have just awoken a #1 NFL WR…

5. Robert Meachem (60.1%) – Like Tolbert, Meachum is owned in good amount of leagues already, but he really looks poised for another nice 2nd half. He’s officially displaced Devery Henderson as the Saints’ 3rd WR and has been getting a lot of attention from Drew Brees the past three weeks. Last night he led the Saints in receptions and yards, and he caught every pass Brees tossed his way.

Keep An Eye On

1. Roscoe Parrish (0.9%) – Parish really stood out in Buffalo’s game against KC. They were using him on reverses in the running game, and he was targeted 8 times in the passing game. If you;re in a league where return yards count, keep tabs on this guy going forward.

2. Jerricho Cotchery (10.1%) – There wasn’t much offense between the Jets and Packers yesterday, but Cotchery – who has had a couple nice games – garnered a team-high 13 targets in the game. LT was the 2nd most-targeted Jet, with 7.

3. Kevin Smith (30.6%) – Smith carries the ball just as many times as Jahvid Best did yesterday. This may be because Best has a bit of a turf toe issue, but that is definitely an uptick in Detroit’s usage of Smith.

4. Keiland Williams (0.9%) – Ryan Torain left the game with a strained hammy. No confirmation that it is serious or anything, and the Redskins do have a bye week this week, but if you hear Torain’s strain was serious, this is the guy who will get the carries in DC.

5. Nate Burleson (27.4%) – Man the Lions offense looks a lot better with Stafford behind center. Yeah, Calvin Johnson is the beast on the team, but Burleson is definitely the #2 WR on a team that will be passing plenty. Yesterday he had 7 catches off of 9 targets from Stafford.

NFL Week 8 Fantasy Studs and Duds

David Garrard


  • QB – David Garrard 44 points
  • WR – Calvin Johnson 29 points
  • WR – Brandon Lloyd 24 points
  • RB – BenJarvus Green-Ellis 27 points
  • RB – Jamaal Charles 26 points
  • TE – Jason Witten 17 points
  • DEF – Detroit 27 points


  • QB – Mark Sanchez 4 points
  • WR – Randy Moss 1 point
  • WR – Roy Williams 1 point
  • RB – Marshawn Lynch 1 point
  • RB – Shonn Greene 3 points
  • TE – Vernon Davis 1 point
  • DEF – San Diego 1 point

NFL Week 8 Fantasy Quarterbacks

Wanna win this week in fantasy football? Pay attention, these are some must and don’t plays at running back in the NFL in week 8.
Looking for more NFL Week 8 fantasy help?
Running BacksWide Receivers and Team Defenses

Start That Quarterback – Warzecha

I'm so smart I went to Harvard.

1. Ryan Fitzpatrick – Fitzpatrick has started 4 games for the Bills this season. In those four weeks he has averaged 20 fantasy points, most among all quarterbacks over that stretch. Kansas CIty has a pretty good defense, but its better against the run than the pass…and the Jets and Ravens have pretty good defenses too, but it didn’t matter. This guy isn’t a gimmick anymore.
2. Jon Kitna – Sure he looked pathetic last week for most of his three quarters of action against the Giants. But the guy hadn’t seen real action since 2008 and the Giants can play defense. This week he’ll get all the first-team reps and he gets to play the most generous defense to fantasy QBs, the Jacksonville Jaguars. He has history with Roy WIlliams, looked last week like he already has a rapport with Dez Bryant, and Miles Austin and Jason Witten should be easy enough to get the ball to. Kitna will put up Top 12 numbers this week at least.
3. Chad Henne – Henne has been pretty up and down this season as a fantasy QB, but this is a week where you want to have him in your lineup. He’ll be facing the Cincinatti Bengals who will be without both of their talented starting corners, Michigan alum Leon Hall and Jonathan Joseph. Look for him to hook up with Brandon Marshall all day and get Davone Bess heavily involved as well.

Sit That Quarterback

1. Drew Brees – Brees has really only had a couple really good fantasy performances all year, so it should come as no surprise that I’m not high on him against the Steelers defense this week. Pierre Thomas and Reggie Bush are still out with injuries, so this will be another week with no help from the running game. I know it’s hard to sit a guy you used a 1st or 2nd round pick on, but you can probably pick up all, or at least one, of the guys listed above and they will all have better days. Mark it down.
2. Brett Favre – Favre is still acting as if he is going to play this weekend. Maybe he won’t. Either way, don’t even think about playing him. I told you not to start him at Lambeau last week, when everyone was sure the old man was going to come up with a vintage performance. He was pathetic. Even though it’s New England’s secondary we’re talking about, he’ll be a bad start again this week too. He’s done.
3. The Texas Rangers’ Bullpen – They probably aren’t eligible in your league, but just in case they are, for the love of God leave them on the bench…


Please don't hit my shoulder.

Matthew Stafford – This is Stafford’s first week back since getting injured in the season’s first game. Don’t be shocked is he is a tad rusty in the first quarter, but if Shaun Hill could do it (and he did), then Stafford will be able to put up numbers throwing to Johnson, Burleson, Pettigrew, and Best out of the backfield. He’s at home facing a Washington defense that is in the bottom quarter of the NFL against the pass. I’d feel fine playing him if I needed a bye-week fill-in, and I’ll be ready to snatch him up as an elite back-up for the rest of the way if he has a good game.


NFL Week 8 Fantasy Running Backs

Wanna win this week in fantasy football? Pay attention, these are some must and don’t plays at running back in the NFL in week 8.
Looking for more NFL Week 8 fantasy help?
Quarterbacks Wide Receivers & Team Defenses

Put Em In – Edwards

Week 1 Repeat?

1.Arian Foster – At the beginning of the season, Foster torched the Colts for over 200 yards on the ground. His opponent this week? The Colts. I doubt he can replicate that kind of success but look for the former Volunteer to rack up the fantasy points.

2.Darren McFadden – Run DMC had a break-out fantasy game last week against the Broncos, scoring four touchdowns. This type of play is what the Raiders envisioned when selecting him in the Top 10 in ’08. I expect McFadden to have a strong game this week against the Seahawks. Start him with confidence.

3.Ryan Torain – Torain has put together back to back 100-yard games and should continue the streak against the Lions average-at-best run defense. Expect Torain to make it rain…that just happened.

Leave Em Out

1.Cedric Benson – I can’t say this enough so I’ll say it again, I’m not a fan of Benson. *cough…overrated…cough* On top of that he has continuously faced tough defenses this season and faces the stingy Dolphins D this week. Sit him if you can.

2.Brandon Jackson – Jackson has shown some signs of fantasy life recently but I don’t expect much against an excellent Jets defense. Look for another option.

3.Beanie Wells – Wells has taken over the lion-share of carries in Arizona and has run well. Unfortunately for Wells, his QB play has been horrible. With that said, look for the Buccaneers to put eight in the box and force the concussed Max Hall to beat them through the air. This doesn’t add up to great fantasy numbers for Wells. Search the waiver wire if you can.


I will, hit you!

LeGarrette Blount – I can’t believe I’m even typing his name but Blount has somehow not only played his way into the Tampa rotation but also taken over the bulk of the carries. I’m hesitant to promote any fantasy stability here but if you’re desperate this week give him a look.

NFL Week 8 Wide Receivers and Team Defenses

Wanna win this week in fantasy football? Pay attention, these are some must and don’t plays at running back in the NFL in week 8.
Looking for more NFL Week 8 fantasy help?
QuarterbacksRunning Backs

Must Start WRs – Thompson

Look Maw, I'm playing the Bills!

1. Dwayne Bowe – The Chiefs have silenced the doubters and have shown to be a solid team. They have done so with a good defense and the league’s best running offense but the week 8 match up against the Bills should be beneficial for the entire offense. My guess is the Chiefs will open up the playbook to try to get passing attack some work. That will mean Bowe should get a lot of looks and barring any drops, will be very productive.


2. Reggie Wayne – I picked Wayne week 1 as a top wide out against the same Texan team he faces this week. He didn’t come through then but will now. Reggie is due for a breakout game against this division foe and I believe it will be this week. Expect a big night from Mr. Wayne this Monday.

3. Brandon Marshall – Marshall is having a quietly productive year and I think it is time he made my top 3. He is leading the Dolphins with 524 yards but only has 1 touchdown. The Dolphins are 3-0 on the road this year and are in Cincinnati this week. Look for the Dolphins to pull out all the stops as they need a win to keep pace with the elite teams in the AFC. Marshall will find the end zone for his second and possibly even his third TD of the year.

Let ’em ride the pine

I want my Romo...

1. Miles Austin – We all know Romo is hurt and Kitna has taken over for the Cowboys. Kitna has shown he can get the job done in years past but he didn’t look the part last week. The full week of preparation should help but how much effort the disappointing Cowboys will give is still unknown. I’m sure he will complete some passes against a pathetic Jacksonville secondary but with so many options, we just don’t know who will be on the receiving end. Leave him out this week just to see how things shake out.


2. Donald Driver – The Packers are traveling to New York to take on the Jets. The Jets just so happen to have the league’s best corner in Darrelle Revis. Earlier this week Revis stated he is “100 percent”. That alone should scare you into leaving Driver on the bench.

3. Calvin Johnson – There is no doubt Johnson is a great talent. However, this week Matt Stafford is starting for the first time since injuring his shoulder week 1. I could see Stafford either throwing 4 touchdowns or 4 picks in his return. You don’t want that kind of uncertainty in your lineup this late in the season. Go ahead and bench him and see how things come together.

Hope You Got One Of These Team Defenses – Cook

  1. Chiefs – At home against the Bills
  2. Cowboys – At home against the Jaguars
  3. Rams – At home against the Panthers
  4. Broncos – On the road at 49ers
  5. Jets – At home against the Packers
  6. Dolphins – On the road at Bengals
  7. Buccaneers – On the road at Cardinals
  8. Steelers – On the road at Saints
  9. Jaguars – On the road at Cowboys
  10. Redskins – On the road at Lions


PatriotsSure, the Vikings have a great running back in Peterson, but not one back has rushed for more then 88 yards against New England this year. Plus we all know about Favre and the broken bones in his foot. The Patriots also know this and you can expect them to focus on the Vikings running game. If Favre doesn’t play then that plays even more into the Pats plans, because nobody is scared of Tarvaris Jackson dropping back to pass.

Week 8 Waiver Wire Wonders

Waiver Wire Wonders

1. Mike Williams (Seahawks – 60.5% owned)
We at Illegal Shift told you to pick up the ex-Trojan last week after he hauled in 10 passes for over 120 yards right after Seattle’s bye. Well, Hasselback locked onto him again this week, hooking up with his favorite new target 11 times for 87 yards and a touchdown. I started him in my PPR league and he was worth 25 glorious points. Pick him up ASAP!!

2. Steve Johnson (Bills – 14.1% owned)
Don’t look now, but Ryan Fitzpatrick has busted out of the confines of sporadic sleeper-special and is beginning to look like a real live NFL quarterback. He threw for 4 touchdowns and over 400 yards against the Ravens on Sunday, and Johnson was the beneficiary of one of the scores and 158 of the yards. Lee Evans did the most scoring damage for the Bills, but Johnson received just as many targets (10) and led the team in yardage. Johnson has been Buffalo’s most consistent receiver all year with at least 3 receptions every weekend, and also has a team high 5 receiving touchdowns in 6 games. It’s time to stop overlooking him and put him on your team.

3. Davone Bess (Dolphins – 19.1% owned)
I was borderline shocked to see how few leagues Bess is owned in. He’s been extremely solid all year as Chad Henne’s possession target opposite Brandon Marshall, recording at least 5 catches in every game but one. He’s posted a touchdown in each of Miami’s last three games, and should honestly be owned in every league with 12 or more teams.

4. LeGarrette Blount (Buccaneers – 1.3% owned)
Blount – seemingly out of nowhere – received the lion’s share of the carries for Tampa Bay in their game against the Rams on Sunday. Sure, it was still only 11 carries, but the fact that the next closest ball-carrier was quarterback Josh Freeman (5) says a lot. Blount looks like he is emerging as – at the very least – the lead ball-carrier in a timeshare in Tampa, and that is always something worth owning no matter what team you are talking about.

5. Todd Heap (Ravens – 29.1% owned)
For all of those out there mourning the loss of Jermichael Finley or Dallas Clark, Heap has had at least 50 yards and a touchdown in each the past two weeks.

Five Others of Interest

1. Dexter McCluster (Chiefs – 12.4%)
Dexter caught 5 passes on five targets for 42 yards and gained 28 yards on 4 carries against the Jags on Sunday. This increase in use may just be because the Chiefs had the game in hand, or Todd Haley may be trying to get the rookie more involved going forward. He’s definitely worth keeping an eye on.

2. Willis McGahee (Ravens – 60.5%)
Starting to inch closer in the timeshare with Ray Rice. Got 11 carries to Rice’s 16 on Sunday against the Bills.

3. Mike Hart (Colts – 1.7%)
Joseph Addai looks like he’ll be out for at least 3-4 weeks and Donald Brown has been made of glass in his 1.5 seasons in the NFL. Expect Hart to get the majority of the snaps at running back while Addai is out, making him a flex-worthy play during that time.

4. Blair White (Colts – 0.0%)
White will likely have less time to make an impact than his teammate Hart, but Austin Collie is almost certainly not going to play against Houston on MNF this upcoming week. And after Anthony Gonzalez tweaked a high-ankle sprain, White will be the beneficiary of Collie’s absence. If you’re looking for a good bye-week fill in, you could strike gold here with White.

5. Aaron Hernandez (Patriots – 73.3%)
I only put him down here because he’s less likely to be available in your league, but if yours is one of the 27% in which he is, you NEED to grab him. No matter who your tight end is. Grab him, then use your stud tight end as trade bait to upgrade somewhere else. He’s led the Patriots in targets since Moss was dealt and he looks to be a big part of their plans. You can trust him going forward.

– Warzecha –