College Football Lead Pipe Locks for October 16th

Ohio State (-4) at Wisconsin

ESPN and the rest of the sports media is eager to declare this game as a likely stumbling point for the Buckeyes. Really? Sure, maybe Ohio State has had some tough games in Camp Randall Stadium but so have most big ten teams. More important in my mind is that Ohio State is 8-0 in its last eight road games against ranked teams and is 19-1 in its last 20 Big Ten road games. Wisconsin is nothing all that special and their style of offense plays right into the strength of a stout, talented Buckeye defense. I expect Pryor to provide his first real Heisman-worthy performance of 2010 in a Buckeye win. Prediction: Ohio State 30 – 20.

Florida (-7) vs. Mississippi State

Florida is embarrassed. They’re angry. And they’re way more talented than the Bulldogs. Mississippi State is offensively inept. Look for Florida’s offense and defense to come out swinging Saturday night in the Swamp. Prediction: Florida 27 – 16.

Utah at Wyoming (over 53)

Utah averages more than 49 points per game. All but one of their games this season have gone over the total – by a lot. In their last three games they’ve scored 56 (@ New Mexico), 56 (San Jose St.) and 68 (@ Iowa St.). Utah likely covers this spread in a shutout, but I expect Wyoming to put a few points on the board as well. Prediction: Utah 52 – 13.

Arkansas (+4) at Auburn

This match-up promises to be one of the best – and most important – in the nation this week. Both teams are coming off wins against solid teams that were probably closer than they should have been. Both teams are fighting to take advantage of Alabama’s suddenly imperfect record. Both teams have potentially explosive offenses. But the weakest unit on the field on Saturday will be Auburn’s defense. That will be the difference in a huge road win for the Razorbacks. Prediction: Arkansas 31 – 27.

LOCK OF THE WEEK!!!!

Utah (-20) at Wyoming

Wyoming has been a dog by more than 20 points three times this season. They covered a 27.5 point spread against a seriously overrated Texas team in week one, and failed to cover 23 and 35 point spreads to Boise State and TCU, respectively. The Cowboys lost those last two games by a collective score of 96-6. Utah is a lot closer to its BCS-busting brethren than it is to Texas. In fact, with the 3rd best scoring offense in college football, Utah has been even more explosive than both the Broncos and Horned Frogs. This will be a major blowout. Prediction: Utah 52 – 13.

Warzecha Season Record: 7-7 (beginning in week 3)

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