College Football Lead Pipe Locks For October 9th

Nebraska (-10) vs. Kansas State

Nebraska has looked dominant all season, except for a week 3 hiccup in an unimpressive win against South Dakota State. SDSU is really bad. Like 0-4 against 3 bad teams and Nebraska kind of bad. Luckily, Nebraska followed that performance with a bye week in which Bo Pelini likely helped the Huskers get it together. K-State is 4-0 and has ridden the coattails of a good running game to this point, but they have not faced anything like Nebraska’s defense to date. UCLA – ranked 68 in total defense – is the best the Wildcats have gone up against. Nebraska has a Top 10 defense that gives up less than 13 points per game. Nebraska, with two weeks to prepare, and playing at home. won’t have any problem staying unbeaten on Thursday night. Prediction: Nebraska 34 – 20.

Michigan State (+4.5) at Michigan

This is a major grudge-match in 2010. Michigan State has won two in a row against their big brother for the first time since the mid-1960’s. Michigan wants this win so bad they can taste it. They have one of the most prolific offenses in the country, but a below average defense as well. The Spartans will have head coach Mark Dantonio back on the sideline for the first time since suffering a heart attack three weeks ago immediately after the teams’ overtime win against Notre Dame. And while Michigan State may not have the passing attack that allowed Notre Dame and Indiana to rack up yardage against the Wolverines, they have a great running game that should be able to score consistently against the Wolverine defense and keep Denard Robinson off the field. Shoelace only needed 18 minutes last week though, to lead the Michigan offense to almost 600 yards and 42 points. There won’t be that big of a time of possession disparity this week in the Big House. Michigan wins, but it’s a close one. Prediction: Michigan 35 – 31.

Auburn (-6.5) at Kentucky

Auburn’s offense hummed to an easy victory last week and looks to be getting better and better. Cam Newton is moving up Heisman lists, and rightfully so. Kentucky is going in the opposite direction, losing two in a row after starting the season 3-0. Kentucky is the home team, but coming off of a hard fought loss to Ole Miss while Auburn was able to rest its starters against Louisiana-Monroe is a bad formula for the Wildcats. This won’t be a blow out, but Auburn will win by enough. Prediction: Auburn 34 – 24.

Alabama (-6.5) at South Carolina

The Tide is clearly the class of college football in 2010, again. Yes, they are going on the road again, where they got a major scare from Arkansas two weeks ago. Yes, South Carolina has had a bye week to prepare for the game. But South Carolina does not have the aerial attack that the Hogs used to exploit Bama’s defense. Heck, the ol’ ball coach is back to yanking quarterbacks again. Saban’s team is on a mission. If they stumble, it won’t be here. Prediction: Alabama 27 – 17.


Arkansas (-6.5) vs. Texas A&M

Arkansas has had two weeks to let the sting of letting Alabama off the hook subside. They’ve had two weeks to prepare for A&M’s dangerous offense and average defense. Coach Petrino will have the Hogs re-focused and ready to make a run through the rest of their schedule. A&M will score some points, but their offense is not as good as Alabama’s (who scored 24 on the Hogs) and their quarterback is a turnover machine. Hogs win, and they win comfortably. Prediction: Arkansas 41 – 27.

Season Record: 4 – 5 (beginning in Week 3)


2 responses to this post.

  1. I like em all, except for the Bama game. I think they’ll win, but 6.5 is to many points in an SEC battle.


  2. Second week in a row that @BFeldmanESPN has agreed with 4/5 of the locks. He sees Bama winning 31-30. I think the most vulnerable pick is Michigan State. #Shoelace


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