Lead Pipe College Football Locks for October 2nd

College Football Lead Pipe Locks

Stanford +7 at Oregon
Everyone is all over the Oregon Ducks. Hey, they’re good. They’re probably really good, actually. But so is Stanford. Stanford has covered the spread in all four of its games this season, three of which have been absolute beatings of Notre Dame (37-14), Wake Forest (68-24), and a UCLA team that just dominated Texas (35-0). Last week Oregon won, but failed to cover against nothing more than a “nice” Arizona State team. As explosive as the Ducks are (T-2nd nationally in scoring), Stanford is just as dangerous (3rd), but without all the hype. If both teams can score like that, I like the tougher team to win, much less not lose by more than a touchdown. Prediction: Stanford 38 – 37

Florida +8.5 at Alabama
Listen, Alabama can act as nonchalant as it wants about its grasping victory from the jaws of defeat in Fayetteville least week. But it took everything they had. Now the Tide is turning around to face its biggest rival in the Saban era. Florida may be a bit down this season, but they showed last week that they have more at their offensive disposal than John Brantley dropping back to pass. The Gators have defense, they have a great coach, and they have enough wrinkles on offense to cover this spread in Tuscaloosa. Prediction: Alabama 24 – 18

Notre Dame -2.5 at Boston College
Notre Dame is a good football team. Problem is they’ve played some other good ones early this season. They are clearly the better team in this game against BC, despite having a worse record. Brian Kelly and his players are desperate to show the country that things have changed in South Bend, even if the win column hasn’t yet reflected it. Prediction: Notre Dame 31 – 23

Oklahoma -3.5 vs. Texas
I can’t remember a season where I was less impressed by both Texas and Oklahoma. Oklahoma is undefeated but has really only looked good in one of its four wins. Texas just got smoked by dormant UCLA. Both teams have only covered the spread once this season, and both did so against probably the best teams they’ve faced. The difference is that Oklahoma really stepped up to another level when it faced Florida State in its premiere non-conference match-up. Texas hasn’t stepped up at all in four games. They won’t here either as its running game will stall against a tough OU defense in Dallas, forcing Garret Gilbert to do more than he’s ready for. Prediction: Oklahoma 24 – 17

LOCK OF THE WEEK!

Ohio State +17.5 at Illinois
Ohio State has steamrolled it’s over-matched competition in the first four weeks. Now Big Ten play opens with the Buckeyes pitted against Illinois, the team that ruined OSU’s national title hopes in 2007 when they pulled the big upset. Tressel, as much as I personally can’t stand him, will use that history as motivation this week, ensuring that Pryor and the Buckeyes dominate another inferior opponent. Prediction: Ohio State 41 – 17

– Written By –

Warzecha

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2 responses to this post.

  1. Posted by Warzecha on October 1, 2010 at 12:54 pm

    In case anyone was wondering, if ESPN’s Bruce Feldman was an avid reader of this great blog, he would likely comment on this post saying that he agrees with all of these picks, except that Oregon may barely cover.

    http://insider.espn.go.com/ncf/blog?name=feldman_bruce&id=5632455

    Reply

  2. Posted by Ha on October 3, 2010 at 11:28 am

    I hope you didn’t put money on those picks! Well, except Ohio St +17.5, I would love to know where you got that line.

    Reply

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